FIRE-MODEL Work Plan
Overview
This figure summarizes the FIRE-MODEL project as an overlapping Verify → Predict → Synthesis program over 36 months. It emphasizes legibility for proposal insertion and aligns task language with the current proposal timeline.
Gantt Chart
- Primary checked-in asset: fire_model_gantt_verify_predict_synthesis.svg
- To regenerate print assets (PNG/PDF), run:
python3 scripts/generate_fire_model_gantt.py --all-formats
Figure Legend
Time framing (x-axis) - Year 1 — Verify - Year 2 — Predict - Year 3 — Synthesis
Core logic reflected in tasks
- Verify: observational detection of regime transitions from A(t), P(t), and σ.
- Predict: comparative evaluation of competing structural assumptions in a shared diagnostic space.
- Synthesis: reduced geometry-constrained model, transition-aware gating, release, and user-facing deployment.
Workstreams shown - Data and diagnostics - Empirical validation - Comparative modeling - Reduced model development - Infrastructure and reproducibility - Synthesis, release, and adoption
Milestones shown as diamonds - Unified event dataset complete - Transition detection pipeline validated - Cross-dataset uncertainty assessment complete - Comparative benchmark complete - Model discrimination decision gate - Reduced generative model operational - Public release of code and workflows - Explorer integration complete
Notes on interpretation
- Workstreams overlap by design rather than proceeding as a strict sequence.
- Data ingestion, validation, and uncertainty quantification continue across the full timeline.
- Model development begins in Year 2 and extends into Year 3.
- Infrastructure and reproducibility support all phases and culminate in release and Fire Dynamics Explorer integration.